Heuristic ranking analysis
Heuristic ranking analysis

--- a/displayContract.php
+++ b/displayContract.php
@@ -28,9 +28,17 @@
 echo "<br>";

 }

 }

-echo '<a href="https://www.tenders.gov.au/?event=public.advancedsearch.keyword&keyword=CN'.$_REQUEST['CNID'].'"> View original record @ tenders.gov.au</a>';

+echo '<br><a href="https://www.tenders.gov.au/?event=public.advancedsearch.keyword&keyword=CN'.$_REQUEST['CNID'].'"> View original record @ tenders.gov.au</a><br>';

 

 mysql_free_result($result);

+

+$query = "SELECT * FROM `heuristic_results` where CNID = ".$_REQUEST['CNID'];

+$result = mysql_query($query);

+if (!$result) echo mysql_error().$query;

+while ($r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_ASSOC)) {

+	echo "<b>{$r['heuristic_name']}</b>: {$r['heuristic_value']} (raw value: {$r['raw_value']}, mean: {$r['mean']}, stddev: {$r['stddev']})<br>";

+}

+

 include_footer();

 ?>

 

--- a/heuristics/dateHeuristics.php
+++ b/heuristics/dateHeuristics.php
@@ -1,4 +1,92 @@
-        - long contract period (number of weeks/days?)
-            - Reported late
-        - 45 days? A late contract is a dodgy contract except maybe for variations?
-
+<?php
+//long contract period (number of weeks/days?)
+$heuristics["DATE_LONG_CONTRACT_PERIOD"] = Array(
+	"description" => "long contract period (number of weeks/days?)"
+);
+function DATE_LONG_CONTRACT_PERIOD($cn)
+{
+	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$stddevContractPeriod = getstddevContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractEnd']) - strtotime($cn['contractStart']);
+	$days = intval($diff / (60 * 60 * 24));
+	$value = abs($days - $averageContractPeriod) / $stddevContractPeriod;
+	return Array(
+		"heuristic_value" => $value,
+		"raw_value" => $days,
+		"mean" => $averageContractPeriod,
+		"stddev" => $stddevContractPeriod
+	);
+}
+$averageContractPeriod;
+function getAverageContractPeriod()
+{
+	global $averageContractPeriod;
+	if (!$averageContractPeriod) {
+		$query = "select AVG(dateDiff(contractEnd,contractStart)) from contractnotice";
+		$result = mysql_query($query);
+		$r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH);
+		$averageContractPeriod = $r[0];
+	}
+	return $averageContractPeriod;
+}
+$stddevContractPeriod;
+function getstddevContractPeriod()
+{
+	global $stddevContractPeriod;
+	if (!$stddevContractPeriod) {
+		$query = "select STDDEV(dateDiff(contractEnd,contractStart)) from contractnotice";
+		$result = mysql_query($query);
+		$r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH);
+		$stddevContractPeriod = $r[0];
+	}
+	return $stddevContractPeriod;
+}
+//Reported late, 45 days? A late contract is a dodgy contract except maybe for variations?
+$heuristics["DATE_REPORTED_LATE"] = Array(
+	"description" => "Reported late, 45 days?"
+);
+function DATE_REPORTED_LATE($cn)
+{
+	$averageDaysLate = getAverageDaysLate();
+	$stddevDaysLate = getStddevDaysLate();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['publishDate']) - strtotime($cn['contractStart']);
+	$days = intval($diff / (60 * 60 * 24));
+	if ($days <= 0) {
+		$value = 0;
+	}
+	else {
+		// +1 demerit for exceeding 45 day requirement
+		$value = (abs($days - $averageDaysLate) / $stddevDaysLate) + ($days < 45 ? 0 : 1);
+	}
+	return Array(
+		"heuristic_value" => $value,
+		"raw_value" => $days,
+		"mean" => $averageDaysLate,
+		"stddev" => $stddevDaysLate
+	);
+}
+$averageDaysLate;
+function getAverageDaysLate()
+{
+	global $averageDaysLate;
+	if (!$averageDaysLate) {
+		$query = "select AVG(dateDiff(publishDate,contractStart)) from contractnotice";
+		$result = mysql_query($query);
+		$r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH);
+		$averageDaysLate = $r[0];
+	}
+	return $averageDaysLate;
+}
+$stddevDaysLate;
+function getStddevDaysLate()
+{
+	global $stddevDaysLate;
+	if (!$stddevDaysLate) {
+		$query = "select STDDEV(dateDiff(publishDate,contractStart)) from contractnotice";
+		$result = mysql_query($query);
+		$r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH);
+		$stddevDaysLate = $r[0];
+	}
+	return $stddevDaysLate;
+}
+?>

--- /dev/null
+++ b/heuristics/heuristics.inc.php
@@ -1,1 +1,33 @@
-
+<?php
+  include_once("../lib/common.inc.php");
+$heuristics = Array();
+//each heuristic adds self to description array
+include ("dateHeuristics.php");
+//include("historyHeuristics.php");
+//include("metadataHeuristics.php");
+//include("valueHeuristics.php");
+// method signature heuristic($contractNoticeAsArray);
+function runHeuristic($heuristicName, $cn)
+{
+	$hresults = call_user_func($heuristicName, $cn);
+	if (!isset($hresults["heuristic_value"]) || !isset($hresults["raw_value"]) || !isset($hresults["mean"]) || !isset($hresults["stddev"])) {
+		print_r($hresults);
+		die("Missing field in heurtistic $heuristicName result");
+	}
+	$query = "insert into heuristic_results values('$heuristicName',
+    '{$hresults["heuristic_value"]}',
+     '{$hresults["raw_value"]}',
+      '{$hresults["mean"]}',
+       '{$hresults["stddev"]}',
+           '{$cn["CNID"]}',
+           NOW(),
+           '{$cn["publishDate"]}',
+           '{$cn["agencyABN"]}',
+           '{$cn["supplierID"]}'
+    )";
+	// save value and cn data via sql
+	$result = mysql_query($query);
+	if ($result) echo "Saved $heuristicName for {$cn["CNID"]} <br>\n";
+	elseif (strpos(mysql_error() , "Duplicate entry") === false) echo $hresults . " failed insert.<br>" . mysql_error() . " <br>  $query <br><br>\n";
+}
+?>

--- a/heuristics/historyHeuristics.php
+++ b/heuristics/historyHeuristics.php
@@ -1,6 +1,25 @@
-      - unusual for agency/supplier
-        - previous low number of transactions 
-          - zero ie. new agency/supplier is huge score
-    - unusual value for time of year
+<?php     
+    // "unusual for agency/supplier due to previous low number of transactions "
+$heuristics["HISTORY_LOW_TRANSACTIONS"] = Array(
+	"description" => "unusual for agency/supplier due to previous low number of transactions "
+);
+function HISTORY_LOW_TRANSACTIONS($cn)
+{
+    	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractStart']) - strtotime($cn['publishDate']);
+	$days = intval($diff / 24);
+	return ($days > 45 ? 1 : 0);
+}
+ /*   - unusual value for time of year
         - compare to all other records in last 2 weeks
-        - ie. many large contracts in june so takes more to standout
+        - ie. many large contracts in june so takes more to standout*/
+ 
+ $heuristics["HISTORY_HIGH_VALUE_FOR_MONTH"] = Array(
+	"description" => "unusual value for time of year");
+function HISTORY_HIGH_VALUE_FOR_MONTH($cn)
+{
+    	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractStart']) - strtotime($cn['publishDate']);
+	$days = intval($diff / 24);
+	return ($days > 45 ? 1 : 0);
+}

--- a/heuristics/metadataHeuristics.php
+++ b/heuristics/metadataHeuristics.php
@@ -1,3 +1,12 @@
-      - duplicated description
-        - most duplicated overall, most duplicated per agency/category/supplier etc.
-  
+ <?php
+ /*- duplicated description
+        - most duplicated overall, most duplicated per agency/category/supplier etc. */
+   $heuristics["METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION"] = Array(
+	"description" => "unusual value for time of year");
+function METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION($cn)
+{
+    	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractStart']) - strtotime($cn['publishDate']);
+	$days = intval($diff / 24);
+	return ($days > 45 ? 1 : 0);
+}

file:a/heuristics/readme.txt (deleted)
--- a/heuristics/readme.txt
+++ /dev/null
@@ -1,11 +1,1 @@
-heuristicResults
-heuristic = BY_DATE...
-value = 0.0
-cnPubDate = 
-lastUpdated = 1/1/1970
-contractNotice =
-agency = 
-supplier =
 
-work out total value by summing value
-

--- a/heuristics/runHeuristics.php
+++ b/heuristics/runHeuristics.php
@@ -1,6 +1,32 @@
-<?
-if agency
-if supplier
-if CN
+<?php
+include_once("heuristics.inc.php");
+$query = "SELECT *, agency.abn as agencyABN, IF(supplierABN != '',supplierABN,supplierName) as supplierID
+FROM contractnotice JOIN agency ON contractnotice.agencyName=agency.agencyName";
+
+$query = "SELECT *, agency.abn as agencyABN, IF(supplierABN != '',supplierABN,supplierName) as supplierID
+FROM contractnotice JOIN agency ON contractnotice.agencyName=agency.agencyName
+WHERE  DATE(importDate) = (select * from (SELECT DATE(importDate) 
+FROM contractnotice ORDER BY importDate DESC limit 1) alias)";
+$result = mysql_query($lastimportquery);
+if (!$result) echo mysql_error().$query;
+while ($cn = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH)) {
+	//get each new CN from latest update
+	foreach ($heuristics as $heuristic => $description) {
+		// run all heuristics
+		runHeuristic($heuristic, $cn);
+	}
+        flush();
+}
+/*foreach agency
+
+aggregate agency metrics
+
+foreach supplier
+
+aggreate supplier metrics
+
+foreach CN
+
+aggregate CN metrics */
 ?>
 

--- a/heuristics/valueHeuristics.php
+++ b/heuristics/valueHeuristics.php
@@ -2,9 +2,27 @@
         - large contract value
           - chi-square test for outliers / standard dev from mean/median
           - percent of total contracts for supplier/agency
-
+   $heuristics["METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION"] = Array(
+	"description" => "unusual value for time of year");
+function METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION($cn)
+{
+    	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractStart']) - strtotime($cn['publishDate']);
+	$days = intval($diff / 24);
+	return ($days > 45 ? 1 : 0);
+}
 
         - peculiar value
         - Just under 80k, amplified if other contracts with same supplier are just under
     - unusual variation amount
         - absolute value; large reductions as well as large increases
+        
+           $heuristics["METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION"] = Array(
+	"description" => "unusual value for time of year");
+function METADATA_DUPLICATED_DESCRIPTION($cn)
+{
+    	$averageContractPeriod = getAverageContractPeriod();
+	$diff = strtotime($cn['contractStart']) - strtotime($cn['publishDate']);
+	$days = intval($diff / 24);
+	return ($days > 45 ? 1 : 0);
+}

--- /dev/null
+++ b/heuristics/viewHeuristicsColormap.php
@@ -1,1 +1,54 @@
+<?php    
+  include_once("../lib/common.inc.php");
+// http://www.herethere.net/~samson/php/color_gradient/color_gradient_generator.php.txt
+// return the interpolated value between pBegin and pEnd
+function interpolate($pBegin, $pEnd, $pStep, $pMax)
+{
+	if ($pBegin < $pEnd) {
+		return (($pEnd - $pBegin) * ($pStep / $pMax)) + $pBegin;
+	}
+	else {
+		return (($pBegin - $pEnd) * (1 - ($pStep / $pMax))) + $pEnd;
+	}
+}
+function Gradient($HexFrom, $HexTo, $ColorSteps)
+{
+	$theColorBegin = hexdec($HexFrom);
+	$theColorEnd = hexdec($HexTo);
+	$theNumSteps = intval($ColorSteps);
+	$theR0 = ($theColorBegin & 0xff0000) >> 16;
+	$theG0 = ($theColorBegin & 0x00ff00) >> 8;
+	$theB0 = ($theColorBegin & 0x0000ff) >> 0;
+	$theR1 = ($theColorEnd & 0xff0000) >> 16;
+	$theG1 = ($theColorEnd & 0x00ff00) >> 8;
+	$theB1 = ($theColorEnd & 0x0000ff) >> 0;
+	$GradientColors = array();
+	// generate gradient swathe now
+	for ($i = 0; $i <= $theNumSteps; $i++) {
+		$theR = interpolate($theR0, $theR1, $i, $theNumSteps);
+		$theG = interpolate($theG0, $theG1, $i, $theNumSteps);
+		$theB = interpolate($theB0, $theB1, $i, $theNumSteps);
+		$theVal = ((($theR << 8) | $theG) << 8) | $theB;
+		$GradientColors[] = sprintf("%06X", $theVal);
+	}
+	return $GradientColors;
+}
+$Gradients = Gradient("66FF00" , "FF0000" , 10); 
+  
+$query = "select max(sum) from (SELECT sum(heuristic_value) 
+as sum FROM heuristic_results group by CNID) as a";
+$result = mysql_query($query);
+$r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH);
+$maxVal = $r[0];
+  
+$query = "SELECT sum(heuristic_value) as sum, CNID
+FROM `heuristic_results` group by CNID order by sum DESC LIMIT 30";
+$result = mysql_query($query);
+if (!$result) echo mysql_error().$query;
+while ($r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH)) {
+    echo '<span style="background: #'.$Gradients[floor(($r['sum']/$maxVal) * 10)].'; padding: 5px;">';
+    echo '<a title="'.$r['sum'].'" href="../displayContract.php?CNID='.$r['CNID'].'">X</a>';
+    echo "</span>";
+}
 
+?>

--- /dev/null
+++ b/heuristics/viewHeuristicsDistribution.php
@@ -1,1 +1,72 @@
+<?php    
 
+/*// most interesting
+SELECT sum(heuristic_value) as sum, CNID
+FROM `heuristic_results` group by CNID order by sum DESC limit 30
+
+// spread of values
+select floor(sum) as val,count(*) from (SELECT sum(heuristic_value) 
+as sum FROM heuristic_results group by CNID) as a group by val*/
+
+ /* CAT:Spline chart */ 
+
+ /* pChart library inclusions */ 
+ include("../lib/pChart2.1.0/class/pData.class.php"); 
+ include("../lib/pChart2.1.0/class/pDraw.class.php"); 
+ include("../lib/pChart2.1.0/class/pImage.class.php"); 
+$labels = Array();
+$values = Array();
+
+  include_once("../lib/common.inc.php");
+$query = "select floor(sum) as val,count(*) from (SELECT sum(heuristic_value) 
+as sum FROM heuristic_results group by CNID) as a group by val";
+$result = mysql_query($query);
+if (!$result) echo mysql_error().$query;
+while ($r = mysql_fetch_array($result, MYSQL_BOTH)) {
+    $labels[] = $r[0];
+    $values[] = $r[1];
+}
+
+ /* Create and populate the pData object */ 
+ $MyData = new pData();   
+ $MyData->addPoints($values,"Records"); 
+ $MyData->setAxisName(0,"# of records"); 
+ $MyData->addPoints($labels,"Labels"); 
+ $MyData->setSerieDescription("Labels","Bins"); 
+ $MyData->setAbscissa("Labels"); 
+
+ /* Create the pChart object */ 
+ $myPicture = new pImage(700,230,$MyData); 
+
+ /* Turn of Antialiasing */ 
+ $myPicture->Antialias = FALSE; 
+
+ /* Add a border to the picture */ 
+ $myPicture->drawRectangle(0,0,699,229,array("R"=>0,"G"=>0,"B"=>0)); 
+  
+ /* Write the chart title */  
+ $myPicture->setFontProperties(array("FontName"=>"../lib/pChart2.1.0/fonts/Forgotte.ttf","FontSize"=>11)); 
+ $myPicture->drawText(150,35,"Record distribution",array("FontSize"=>20,"Align"=>TEXT_ALIGN_BOTTOMMIDDLE)); 
+
+ /* Set the default font */ 
+ $myPicture->setFontProperties(array("FontName"=>"../lib/pChart2.1.0/fonts/pf_arma_five.ttf","FontSize"=>6)); 
+
+ /* Define the chart area */ 
+ $myPicture->setGraphArea(60,40,650,200); 
+
+ /* Draw the scale */ 
+ $scaleSettings = array("XMargin"=>10,"YMargin"=>0,"Floating"=>TRUE,"GridR"=>200,"GridG"=>200,"GridB"=>200,"DrawSubTicks"=>TRUE,"CycleBackground"=>TRUE);
+ $myPicture->drawScale($scaleSettings); 
+
+ /* Turn on Antialiasing */ 
+ $myPicture->Antialias = TRUE; 
+
+ /* Draw the line chart */ 
+ $myPicture->drawSplineChart(); 
+
+ /* Write the chart legend */ 
+ $myPicture->drawLegend(540,20,array("Style"=>LEGEND_NOBORDER,"Mode"=>LEGEND_HORIZONTAL)); 
+
+ /* Render the picture (choose the best way) */ 
+ $myPicture->autoOutput("pictures/example.drawSplineChart.simple.png"); 
+?>

--- /dev/null
+++ b/lib/pChart2.1.0/GPLv3.txt
@@ -1,1 +1,676 @@
+                    GNU GENERAL PUBLIC LICENSE

+                       Version 3, 29 June 2007

+

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+  When you convey a covered work, you waive any legal power to forbid

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+  4. Conveying Verbatim Copies.

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+  You may convey verbatim copies of the Program's source code as you

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+  5. Conveying Modified Source Versions.

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+  You may convey a work based on the Program, or the modifications to

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+  6. Conveying Non-Source Forms.

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+  You may convey a covered work in object code form under the terms

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